ICAR-IASRI MSc and PhD (Agricultural Statistics, Computer Application, Bioinformatics) · India · ICAR-Indian Agricultural Statistics Research Institute with the IARI Graduate School
Original practice questions written to the published syllabus · not past papersStatistics for data with a location: spatial autocorrelation, variograms and kriging, spatial regression, point patterns, area-frame sampling, accuracy assessment of crop maps and satellite-based area and yield estimation. Remote-sensing physics and GIS operations are taught in the Agricultural Engineering track; this is the statistics.
In the exams: AICE-JRF Agricultural Physics 'spatial statistics: variogram and interpolation' (present); national crop-estimation programmes (applied); light in national exams
ICAR-IASRI MSc and PhD programmes
Spatial autocorrelation, variogram estimation and modelling, kriging and co-kriging, spatial regression, area-frame designs, accuracy assessment and satellite-assisted crop area and yield estimation.
How our questions for ICAR-IASRI MSc and PhD spread across the units of Spatial Statistics, Geostatistics & Remote Sensing for Agriculture. Difficulty: 24 easy, 48 medium, 20 hard.
| Variograms and their models | 11 | |
| Kriging: ordinary, universal and co-kriging | 10 | |
| Image classification as a statistical problem | 10 | |
| Spatial autocorrelation: Moran's I and Geary's C | 9 | |
| Spatial regression: SAR and CAR models; geographically weighted regression | 9 | |
| Point-pattern analysis | 9 | |
| Accuracy assessment: error matrices and kappa; area estimation from maps | 9 | |
| Satellite-based crop area and yield estimation | 9 | |
| Spatial data types: geostatistical, areal and point-pattern | 8 | |
| Area-frame sampling with satellite stratification | 8 |
Choose an answer, then open the working. Each explanation says why the right answer is right and why the others are not.
Soil pH is measured at 150 fixed grid points in a farm in order to map it everywhere. Which type of spatial data is this?
A. Geostatistical data
pH exists everywhere and is sampled at chosen fixed locations, the geostatistical case. Point patterns have random event locations; areal data are values for fixed units covering the region.
Further reading: Cressie, Statistics for Spatial Data
For the same layout of four plots in a row with yields 2, 4, 6 and 8 and binary neighbour weights between adjacent plots, what is Geary's C?
B. 0.30
Squared differences between adjacent plots are 4 each; over 6 ordered pairs the sum is 24. C = (n - 1) x 24 / (2 x 6 x 20) = 0.30, well below 1, so positive autocorrelation. 1.00 is the expectation under no autocorrelation; forgetting the factor 2 gives 0.60; using n instead of n - 1 gives 0.40.
Further reading: Cressie, Statistics for Spatial Data; Anselin, Spatial Econometrics
Why are spatial weights matrices often row-standardised?
D. So each unit's neighbours are averaged
Dividing each row by its sum makes weights sum to 1 per unit, so W x is the average of neighbours and coefficients are comparable between units with different numbers of neighbours. Row-standardised W is generally not symmetric.
Further reading: Cressie, Statistics for Spatial Data; Anselin, Spatial Econometrics
For a second-order stationary process the sill is 10 and the semivariance at 30 m is 6. What is the correlation between values 30 m apart?
C. 0.4
C(h) = C(0) - gamma(h) = 10 - 6 = 4, and the correlation is C(h)/C(0) = 4/10 = 0.4. 0.6 is gamma/sill; 4.0 is the covariance, not a correlation.
Further reading: Webster and Oliver, Geostatistics for Environmental Scientists
When does co-kriging improve markedly on ordinary kriging of the target variable?
C. When a correlated secondary variable is much denser
Co-kriging gains from extra information about the target; it helps most when the secondary variable is correlated and denser. With identical sampling the gain is usually small.
Further reading: Webster and Oliver, Geostatistics for Environmental Scientists; Isaaks and Srivastava
The maximum likelihood classifier for satellite images assumes that each land-cover class:
D. Is multivariate normal in the bands
Each class is modelled as multivariate normal with its own mean vector and covariance matrix; this makes the rule the quadratic discriminant of multivariate statistics.
Further reading: Congalton and Green; Johnson and Wichern (discriminant analysis)
How do prior probabilities change maximum likelihood classification of pixels?
B. Pixels go to the class of highest posterior
With priors, Bayes' rule multiplies each class likelihood by its prior; in doubtful pixels the more common class is favoured.
Further reading: Congalton and Green; Johnson and Wichern (discriminant analysis)
With rows = map and columns = reference, the user's accuracy for wheat is 80/100 = 0.80. What does it mean to a map user?
B. 80 per cent of mapped wheat is truly wheat
User's accuracy is the reliability of the map label (1 - commission error). The share of real wheat captured is producer's accuracy; overall accuracy covers all classes.
Further reading: Congalton and Green; Olofsson et al. (2014); Pontius and Millones (2011)
A rare crop occupies 2 per cent of a mapped region. Which design for reference samples ensures enough samples to estimate its accuracy?
B. Stratified random sampling by map class
Stratifying by map class guarantees a minimum sample in each class (often about 50 or more); simple random sampling would yield very few rare-crop points. Roadside and training samples are not valid probability samples.
Further reading: Congalton and Green; Olofsson et al. (2014); Pontius and Millones (2011)
Insurance payouts in a block depend on a satellite-assisted yield estimate. What is the most important statistical safeguard?
D. A documented probability design with stated uncertainty
Where money depends on estimates, the design, models and uncertainty must be documented and auditable; unvalidated sensors and post-hoc adjustment undermine credibility.
Further reading: Gallego (2004); Cochran, Sampling Techniques
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