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State statistical services Sampling Theory I: Simple, Stratified, Systematic, Ratio & Regression Estimation: practice questions

State statistical services: Statistical Officer / Assistant Statistical Officer (State PSCs and selection boards) · India · State Public Service Commissions and Subordinate Service Selection Boards

Original practice questions written to the published syllabus · not past papers
10worked here, free
44written to this exam in this subject
9syllabus units

What this subject covers

Probability sampling from first principles: sampling versus complete enumeration, simple random sampling with and without replacement, stratification and allocation, systematic sampling, and the ratio and regression estimators that use auxiliary information such as last year's area.

In the exams: AICE-JRF Ag Stat Unit 5 (heavy); UPSC ISS Statistics III (heavy); SSC CGL JSO (heavy); ASRB NET Ag Stat (heavy); state statistical-officer exams (heavy)

Where the 44 questions fall

How our questions for State statistical services spread across the units of Sampling Theory I: Simple, Stratified, Systematic, Ratio & Regression Estimation. Difficulty: 23 easy, 19 medium, 2 hard.

Simple random sampling with and without replacement8
Sampling versus complete enumeration; sampling and non-sampling errors6
Stratified sampling: estimation and allocation (proportional, Neyman, optimum)6
Estimation of proportions and sample-size determination5
Systematic sampling and its variants5
Product and difference estimators5
Probability sampling, sampling frames and inclusion probabilities4
Ratio estimators: bias, MSE and comparison3
Regression estimators2

10 practice questions, worked

Choose an answer, then open the working. Each explanation says why the right answer is right and why the others are not.

1 · Sampling versus complete enumeration; sampling and non-sampling errors · easy

Why must crop yield be estimated from a sample rather than a complete enumeration of fields?

  1. Statistical law forbids complete enumeration of private farmland
  2. A complete enumeration always has a larger sampling error than a sample
  3. Measuring yield by harvesting plots is destructive and very costly
  4. Yield cannot be measured at all on fields owned by small farmers
Answer and working

C. Measuring yield by harvesting plots is destructive and very costly

Crop-cutting involves harvesting, threshing and weighing a plot, which is expensive and destroys the crop on it; doing it on every field is impossible. A complete enumeration has no sampling error at all.

Further reading: Cochran, Sampling Techniques; Sukhatme et al., Sampling Theory of Surveys with Applications

2 · Sampling versus complete enumeration; sampling and non-sampling errors · medium

Which statement about non-sampling errors is correct?

  1. They vanish completely once a probability sample has been drawn
  2. They can always be estimated from the sample variance s squared
  3. They occur in censuses too and need not fall as n rises
  4. They decrease in proportion to one over the square root of n
Answer and working

C. They occur in censuses too and need not fall as n rises

Coverage, non-response, measurement and processing errors arise in any data collection and often grow with the scale of the operation; they usually cause bias that the sample variance does not reveal. Falling with the square root of n describes sampling error.

Further reading: Cochran, Sampling Techniques; Sukhatme et al., Sampling Theory of Surveys with Applications

3 · Simple random sampling with and without replacement · easy

A population of 10 units has S^2 = 20 (divisor N - 1). What is sigma^2 (divisor N)?

  1. 20.0
  2. 18.0
  3. 2.0
  4. 22.2
Answer and working

B. 18.0

sigma^2 = (N - 1) S^2 / N = 9 x 20 / 10 = 18.0. Multiplying by N/(N - 1) goes the wrong way (22.2).

Further reading: Cochran, Sampling Techniques; Sukhatme et al., Sampling Theory of Surveys with Applications

4 · Estimation of proportions and sample-size determination · medium

An SRSWOR of 100 farmers from 1000 finds 30 using crop insurance. What is the estimated standard error of the sample proportion?

  1. 0.0458
  2. 0.0548
  3. 0.0019
  4. 0.0437
Answer and working

D. 0.0437

v(p) = (1 - f) p q / (n - 1) = 0.9 x 0.3 x 0.7 / 99 = 0.001909; SE = 0.0437. Ignoring the fpc and using n gives 0.0458; 0.0019 is the variance, not its square root.

Further reading: Cochran, Sampling Techniques; Sukhatme et al., Sampling Theory of Surveys with Applications

5 · Stratified sampling: estimation and allocation (proportional, Neyman, optimum) · easy

Strata contain 600, 300, 100 holdings. A sample of 50 is allocated proportionally. How many holdings are sampled from each stratum?

  1. 30, 15, 5
  2. 17, 17, 16
  3. 20, 20, 10
  4. 25, 15, 10
Answer and working

A. 30, 15, 5

Proportional allocation: n_h = n N_h / N = 50 x (600, 300, 100)/1000 = 30, 15, 5. 17, 17, 16 is equal allocation; the other splits follow no rule.

Further reading: Cochran, Sampling Techniques; Sukhatme et al., Sampling Theory of Surveys with Applications

6 · Stratified sampling: estimation and allocation (proportional, Neyman, optimum) · medium

Strata have sizes 600, 300, 100 and standard deviations 2, 4, 10. A total sample of 68 is allocated by Neyman allocation. What are the stratum sample sizes?

  1. 8, 17, 42
  2. 24, 24, 20
  3. 41, 20, 7
  4. 34, 17, 17
Answer and working

B. 24, 24, 20

n_h = n N_h S_h / sum N_h S_h; N_h S_h = [1200, 1200, 1000], sum 3400; n_h = 68 x (1200, 1200, 1000)/3400 = 24, 24, 20. Proportional allocation would give 41, 20, 7; allocating by S_h alone ignores stratum size.

Further reading: Cochran, Sampling Techniques; Sukhatme et al., Sampling Theory of Surveys with Applications

7 · Stratified sampling: estimation and allocation (proportional, Neyman, optimum) · medium

When does stratified random sampling with proportional allocation give the largest gain over simple random sampling of the same size?

  1. When stratum means are equal and units within strata differ widely
  2. When every stratum contains the same number of population units
  3. When stratum means differ widely and units within strata are alike
  4. When the strata are formed after the sample has been selected
Answer and working

C. When stratum means differ widely and units within strata are alike

The gain of proportional allocation over SRS is about [(1 - f)/n] sum W_h (Y-bar_h - Y-bar)^2, the between-stratum variation; it is largest when strata are internally homogeneous and differ from one another.

Further reading: Cochran, Sampling Techniques; Sukhatme et al., Sampling Theory of Surveys with Applications

8 · Ratio estimators: bias, MSE and comparison · medium

A sample of villages gives total wheat production 1440 t on 1200 ha of wheat. The district has 5000 ha of wheat. What is the ratio estimate of district production?

  1. 6000 t
  2. 346 t
  3. 5240 t
  4. 4167 t
Answer and working

A. 6000 t

R-hat = 1440/1200 = 1.2 t/ha; total = R-hat X = 1.2 x 5000 = 6000 t. Inverting the ratio gives 4167 t.

Further reading: Cochran, Sampling Techniques; Sukhatme et al., Sampling Theory of Surveys with Applications

9 · Product and difference estimators · easy

Using the difference estimator with k = 1, a sample gives y-bar = 40 and x-bar = 35, and the population mean of x is 38. What is the estimate of the mean of y?

  1. 43.0
  2. 36.84
  3. 37.0
  4. 43.43
Answer and working

A. 43.0

y-bar_D = y-bar + k(X-bar - x-bar) = 40 + (38 - 35) = 43.0. Ratio and product forms give 43.43 and 36.84.

Further reading: Cochran, Sampling Techniques; Sukhatme et al., Sampling Theory of Surveys with Applications

10 · Stratified sampling: estimation and allocation (proportional, Neyman, optimum) · medium

Two strata have N_h = 200 and 100, samples n_h = 20 and 20, and S_h^2 = 16 and 36. What is the variance of the stratified sample mean (with fpc)?

  1. 0.9600
  2. 0.4800
  3. 1.3000
  4. 0.5556
Answer and working

B. 0.4800

W_h = 2/3 and 1/3. V = sum W_h^2 (1 - f_h) S_h^2 / n_h = (4/9)(0.9)(16/20) + (1/9)(0.8)(36/20) = 0.3200 + 0.1600 = 0.4800. Dropping the fpc gives 0.5556; using W_h instead of W_h^2 gives 0.9600.

Further reading: Cochran, Sampling Techniques; Sukhatme et al., Sampling Theory of Surveys with Applications

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Sampling Theory I: Simple, Stratified, Systematic, Ratio & Regression EstimationThe full study manual, free State statistical servicesFormat, sections and how it has changed

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