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State statistical services Probability Distributions & Sampling Distributions: practice questions

State statistical services: Statistical Officer / Assistant Statistical Officer (State PSCs and selection boards) · India · State Public Service Commissions and Subordinate Service Selection Boards

Original practice questions written to the published syllabus · not past papers
10worked here, free
43written to this exam in this subject
11syllabus units

What this subject covers

Every standard distribution a statistician must recognise and derive from: discrete and continuous families, their relations and limiting forms, compound and truncated distributions, order statistics, the bivariate normal and the sampling distributions chi-square, t and F.

In the exams: AICE-JRF Ag Stat Unit 1 and Unit 2 'compound and truncated distribution, order statistics' (heavy); GATE ST distributions and order statistics (heavy); IIT JAM MS (heavy); UPSC ISS Statistics I (heavy)

What State statistical services asks from it

ICAR AIEEA-PG Group 07, CUET-PG Statistics, SSC JSO and state statistical services

Binomial, Poisson and normal: mean, variance, mode, fitting to data, normal-area calculations and the chi-square, t and F tests that follow.

Where the 43 questions fall

How our questions for State statistical services spread across the units of Probability Distributions & Sampling Distributions. Difficulty: 20 easy, 18 medium, 5 hard.

Pearsonian system and fitting of distributions to agricultural data7
Discrete distributions: Bernoulli, binomial, Poisson, geometric, negative binomial, hypergeometric and multinomial6
Continuous distributions: uniform, normal, exponential, gamma, beta, Cauchy, Weibull, lognormal6
Sampling distributions: chi-square, t and F and their properties6
Relations and limiting forms among distributions5
Distributions of quadratic forms in normal variables (Cochran's theorem)4
Bivariate normal: marginal and conditional distributions3
Compound, mixture and truncated distributions2
Non-central chi-square, t and F2
Order statistics: distributions of single, joint and range1
Exponential family of distributions1

10 practice questions, worked

Choose an answer, then open the working. Each explanation says why the right answer is right and why the others are not.

1 · Discrete distributions: Bernoulli, binomial, Poisson, geometric, negative binomial, hypergeometric and multinomial · easy

A binomial variable has mean 6 and variance 2.4. What is n?

  1. 25
  2. 10
  3. 6
  4. 15
Answer and working

B. 10

q = variance/mean = 2.4/6 = 0.4, so p = 0.6 and n = 6/0.6 = 10. 15 comes from taking p = 0.4 (confusing p with q); 6 confuses n with the mean.

Further reading: Rohatgi and Saleh, An Introduction to Probability and Statistics; Johnson, Kotz and Balakrishnan, Continuous Univariate Distributions; Johnson, Kemp and Kotz, Univariate Discrete Distributions

2 · Continuous distributions: uniform, normal, exponential, gamma, beta, Cauchy, Weibull, lognormal · easy

Wet-day rainfall X is gamma with shape 3 and rate 0.5 per mm, so f(x) ∝ x² e^(−0.5x). What is Var(X)?

  1. 0.75 mm²
  2. 1.5 mm²
  3. 12 mm²
  4. 6 mm²
Answer and working

C. 12 mm²

With rate β, mean = α/β = 6 mm and variance = α/β² = 3/0.25 = 12 mm². 6 is the mean; 0.75 = αβ² wrongly treats 0.5 as a scale parameter (a parameterisation slip).

Further reading: Rohatgi and Saleh, An Introduction to Probability and Statistics; Johnson, Kotz and Balakrishnan, Continuous Univariate Distributions; Johnson, Kemp and Kotz, Univariate Discrete Distributions

3 · Continuous distributions: uniform, normal, exponential, gamma, beta, Cauchy, Weibull, lognormal · easy

X is uniform on (2, 8). What is Var(X)?

  1. 3
  2. 6
  3. 36
  4. 5
Answer and working

A. 3

Var = (b − a)²/12 = 36/12 = 3. 5 is the mean; 36 forgets to divide by 12.

Further reading: Rohatgi and Saleh, An Introduction to Probability and Statistics; Johnson, Kotz and Balakrishnan, Continuous Univariate Distributions; Johnson, Kemp and Kotz, Univariate Discrete Distributions

4 · Relations and limiting forms among distributions · easy

V has a chi-square distribution with 2 degrees of freedom. What is P(V > 6)?

  1. 0.000006
  2. 0.0498
  3. 0.0025
  4. 0.9502
Answer and working

B. 0.0498

χ²₂ is exponential with mean 2: P(V > 6) = e^(−6/2) = e^(−3) = 0.0498. e^(−6) treats the mean as 1.

Further reading: Rohatgi and Saleh, An Introduction to Probability and Statistics; Johnson, Kotz and Balakrishnan, Continuous Univariate Distributions; Johnson, Kemp and Kotz, Univariate Discrete Distributions

5 · Relations and limiting forms among distributions · medium

Calls to a farmers' helpline in a day are Poisson with mean 100. Using the normal approximation with continuity correction, what is P(at least 120 calls)?

  1. 0.0202
  2. 0.0256
  3. 0.4207
  4. 0.0228
Answer and working

B. 0.0256

Mean = variance = 100, SD 10. P(X ≥ 120) ≈ P(Z > (119.5 − 100)/10) = P(Z > 1.95) = 0.0256. Without correction z = 2 gives 0.0228; dividing by the variance gives z = 0.2.

Further reading: Rohatgi and Saleh, An Introduction to Probability and Statistics; Johnson, Kotz and Balakrishnan, Continuous Univariate Distributions; Johnson, Kemp and Kotz, Univariate Discrete Distributions

6 · Pearsonian system and fitting of distributions to agricultural data · medium

A binomial distribution is fitted to germination in 100 trays of 5 seeds, with an average of 4 seeds germinating per tray. What is the expected number of trays in which all 5 seeds germinate?

  1. 32.77
  2. 0.03
  3. 40.96
  4. 80.00
Answer and working

A. 32.77

p̂ = x̄/n = 4/5 = 0.8; expected trays = 100 × 0.8⁵ = 32.77. 0.8⁴ uses the wrong power; 100 × 0.2⁵ = 0.03 is the expected number with none germinating.

Further reading: Rohatgi and Saleh, An Introduction to Probability and Statistics; Johnson, Kotz and Balakrishnan, Continuous Univariate Distributions; Johnson, Kemp and Kotz, Univariate Discrete Distributions

7 · Order statistics: distributions of single, joint and range · hard

A large sample of n = 100 plot yields is drawn from a normal population with σ = 10. What is the approximate standard error of the sample median?

  1. 0.1253
  2. 1.5708
  3. 1.0000
  4. 1.2533
Answer and working

D. 1.2533

Var(median) ≈ 1/[4nf(ξ)²] with f(ξ) = 1/(σ√(2π)), giving πσ²/(2n) = 1.5708; SE = 1.2533. 1.0000 is the standard error of the mean, σ/√n; 1.5708 is the variance, not the standard error.

Further reading: Rohatgi and Saleh, An Introduction to Probability and Statistics; Johnson, Kotz and Balakrishnan, Continuous Univariate Distributions; Johnson, Kemp and Kotz, Univariate Discrete Distributions

8 · Bivariate normal: marginal and conditional distributions · medium

Plant height X (cm) and grain yield Y (g) are bivariate normal with σ_X = 10, σ_Y = 8 and ρ = 0.6. What is the standard deviation of yield among plants of any fixed height?

  1. 6.4 g
  2. 5.12 g
  3. 3.2 g
  4. 8.0 g
Answer and working

A. 6.4 g

Var(Y | X) = σ_Y²(1 − ρ²) = 64 × 0.64, so SD = 8√0.64 = 6.4 g, the same at every height. 5.12 g multiplies σ_Y (not σ_Y²) by 1 − ρ²; 8.0 g ignores the information in X.

Further reading: Rohatgi and Saleh, An Introduction to Probability and Statistics; Johnson, Kotz and Balakrishnan, Continuous Univariate Distributions; Johnson, Kemp and Kotz, Univariate Discrete Distributions

9 · Bivariate normal: marginal and conditional distributions · medium

(X, Y) is bivariate normal with σ_X = 2, σ_Y = 3 and ρ = 0.5. What is the distribution of X − Y?

  1. Normal with mean μ_X − μ_Y and variance 19
  2. Normal with mean μ_X − μ_Y and variance 13
  3. Normal with mean μ_X − μ_Y and variance 5
  4. Normal with mean μ_X − μ_Y and variance 7
Answer and working

D. Normal with mean μ_X − μ_Y and variance 7

Linear combinations of a bivariate normal are normal. Var(X − Y) = 4 + 9 − 2(0.5)(2)(3) = 7. 13 ignores the covariance; 19 adds it with the wrong sign.

Further reading: Rohatgi and Saleh, An Introduction to Probability and Statistics; Johnson, Kotz and Balakrishnan, Continuous Univariate Distributions; Johnson, Kemp and Kotz, Univariate Discrete Distributions

10 · Sampling distributions: chi-square, t and F and their properties · medium

A random sample of 16 is drawn from N(μ, 4). What is the variance of the sample variance s² (divisor n − 1)?

  1. 1.0667
  2. 2.1333
  3. 2.0000
  4. 30.0000
Answer and working

B. 2.1333

(n − 1)s²/σ² ~ χ²₁₅ with variance 30, so Var(s²) = σ⁴ × 2(n − 1)/(n − 1)² = 2σ⁴/(n − 1) = 32/15 = 2.1333. 30 is the variance of the chi-square itself; dividing by n gives 2.0000.

Further reading: Rohatgi and Saleh, An Introduction to Probability and Statistics; Johnson, Kotz and Balakrishnan, Continuous Univariate Distributions; Johnson, Kemp and Kotz, Univariate Discrete Distributions

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Probability Distributions & Sampling DistributionsThe full study manual, free State statistical servicesFormat, sections and how it has changed

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