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Indian Statistical Service Examination Probability Distributions & Sampling Distributions: practice questions

Indian Statistical Service Examination (with Indian Economic Service) · India · Union Public Service Commission

Original practice questions written to the published syllabus · not past papers
7worked here, free
32written to this exam in this subject
11syllabus units

What this subject covers

Every standard distribution a statistician must recognise and derive from: discrete and continuous families, their relations and limiting forms, compound and truncated distributions, order statistics, the bivariate normal and the sampling distributions chi-square, t and F.

In the exams: AICE-JRF Ag Stat Unit 1 and Unit 2 'compound and truncated distribution, order statistics' (heavy); GATE ST distributions and order statistics (heavy); IIT JAM MS (heavy); UPSC ISS Statistics I (heavy)

Where the 32 questions fall

How our questions for Indian Statistical Service Examination spread across the units of Probability Distributions & Sampling Distributions. Difficulty: 8 easy, 19 medium, 5 hard.

Pearsonian system and fitting of distributions to agricultural data6
Discrete distributions: Bernoulli, binomial, Poisson, geometric, negative binomial, hypergeometric and multinomial4
Continuous distributions: uniform, normal, exponential, gamma, beta, Cauchy, Weibull, lognormal3
Relations and limiting forms among distributions3
Bivariate normal: marginal and conditional distributions3
Sampling distributions: chi-square, t and F and their properties3
Distributions of quadratic forms in normal variables (Cochran's theorem)3
Compound, mixture and truncated distributions2
Non-central chi-square, t and F2
Exponential family of distributions2
Order statistics: distributions of single, joint and range1

7 practice questions, worked

Choose an answer, then open the working. Each explanation says why the right answer is right and why the others are not.

1 · Continuous distributions: uniform, normal, exponential, gamma, beta, Cauchy, Weibull, lognormal · medium

X has a Cauchy distribution with location 5 and scale 2. What is its interquartile range?

  1. 4
  2. 1.349 × 2
  3. It does not exist, because no moments exist
  4. 2
Answer and working

A. 4

The Cauchy quartiles are θ ± σ = 3 and 7, so the IQR is 2σ = 4. The Cauchy has no mean or variance, but its quantiles exist. 1.349σ is the IQR of a normal.

Further reading: Rohatgi and Saleh, An Introduction to Probability and Statistics; Johnson, Kotz and Balakrishnan, Continuous Univariate Distributions; Johnson, Kemp and Kotz, Univariate Discrete Distributions

2 · Relations and limiting forms among distributions · medium

Calls to a farmers' helpline in a day are Poisson with mean 100. Using the normal approximation with continuity correction, what is P(at least 120 calls)?

  1. 0.0202
  2. 0.0256
  3. 0.4207
  4. 0.0228
Answer and working

B. 0.0256

Mean = variance = 100, SD 10. P(X ≥ 120) ≈ P(Z > (119.5 − 100)/10) = P(Z > 1.95) = 0.0256. Without correction z = 2 gives 0.0228; dividing by the variance gives z = 0.2.

Further reading: Rohatgi and Saleh, An Introduction to Probability and Statistics; Johnson, Kotz and Balakrishnan, Continuous Univariate Distributions; Johnson, Kemp and Kotz, Univariate Discrete Distributions

3 · Pearsonian system and fitting of distributions to agricultural data · medium

A binomial distribution is fitted to germination in 100 trays of 5 seeds, with an average of 4 seeds germinating per tray. What is the expected number of trays in which all 5 seeds germinate?

  1. 32.77
  2. 0.03
  3. 40.96
  4. 80.00
Answer and working

A. 32.77

p̂ = x̄/n = 4/5 = 0.8; expected trays = 100 × 0.8⁵ = 32.77. 0.8⁴ uses the wrong power; 100 × 0.2⁵ = 0.03 is the expected number with none germinating.

Further reading: Rohatgi and Saleh, An Introduction to Probability and Statistics; Johnson, Kotz and Balakrishnan, Continuous Univariate Distributions; Johnson, Kemp and Kotz, Univariate Discrete Distributions

4 · Order statistics: distributions of single, joint and range · hard

A large sample of n = 100 plot yields is drawn from a normal population with σ = 10. What is the approximate standard error of the sample median?

  1. 0.1253
  2. 1.5708
  3. 1.0000
  4. 1.2533
Answer and working

D. 1.2533

Var(median) ≈ 1/[4nf(ξ)²] with f(ξ) = 1/(σ√(2π)), giving πσ²/(2n) = 1.5708; SE = 1.2533. 1.0000 is the standard error of the mean, σ/√n; 1.5708 is the variance, not the standard error.

Further reading: Rohatgi and Saleh, An Introduction to Probability and Statistics; Johnson, Kotz and Balakrishnan, Continuous Univariate Distributions; Johnson, Kemp and Kotz, Univariate Discrete Distributions

5 · Bivariate normal: marginal and conditional distributions · medium

Plant height X (cm) and grain yield Y (g) are bivariate normal with σ_X = 10, σ_Y = 8 and ρ = 0.6. What is the standard deviation of yield among plants of any fixed height?

  1. 6.4 g
  2. 5.12 g
  3. 3.2 g
  4. 8.0 g
Answer and working

A. 6.4 g

Var(Y | X) = σ_Y²(1 − ρ²) = 64 × 0.64, so SD = 8√0.64 = 6.4 g, the same at every height. 5.12 g multiplies σ_Y (not σ_Y²) by 1 − ρ²; 8.0 g ignores the information in X.

Further reading: Rohatgi and Saleh, An Introduction to Probability and Statistics; Johnson, Kotz and Balakrishnan, Continuous Univariate Distributions; Johnson, Kemp and Kotz, Univariate Discrete Distributions

6 · Sampling distributions: chi-square, t and F and their properties · medium

A random sample of 16 is drawn from N(μ, 4). What is the variance of the sample variance s² (divisor n − 1)?

  1. 1.0667
  2. 2.1333
  3. 2.0000
  4. 30.0000
Answer and working

B. 2.1333

(n − 1)s²/σ² ~ χ²₁₅ with variance 30, so Var(s²) = σ⁴ × 2(n − 1)/(n − 1)² = 2σ⁴/(n − 1) = 32/15 = 2.1333. 30 is the variance of the chi-square itself; dividing by n gives 2.0000.

Further reading: Rohatgi and Saleh, An Introduction to Probability and Statistics; Johnson, Kotz and Balakrishnan, Continuous Univariate Distributions; Johnson, Kemp and Kotz, Univariate Discrete Distributions

7 · Sampling distributions: chi-square, t and F and their properties · easy

X has the F distribution with (5, 12) degrees of freedom. What is E(X)?

  1. 1.0
  2. 1.2
  3. 2.4
  4. 1.67
Answer and working

B. 1.2

E(F) = n/(n − 2) for denominator df n > 2: 12/10 = 1.2, regardless of the numerator df 5. 1.67 = 5/3 uses the numerator df.

Further reading: Rohatgi and Saleh, An Introduction to Probability and Statistics; Johnson, Kotz and Balakrishnan, Continuous Univariate Distributions; Johnson, Kemp and Kotz, Univariate Discrete Distributions

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Probability Distributions & Sampling DistributionsThe full study manual, free Indian Statistical Service ExaminationFormat, sections and how it has changed

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