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ICAR AIEEA-PG Commodity Markets, Futures & Options: practice questions

ICAR AIEEA-PG (Master's admission and PG scholarship) · India · National Testing Agency for ICAR

Original practice questions written to the published syllabus · not past papers
8worked here, free
19written to this exam in this subject
11syllabus units

What this subject covers

How commodity exchanges let farmers, processors and traders manage price risk, how contracts, margins and settlement work, and how the market is regulated.

In the exams: agricultural economics PhD entrance and fellowship examinations, forward trading and futures markets (present); agribusiness management PhD entrance and fellowship examinations, marketing (present); commodity derivatives certification examinations

Where the 19 questions fall

How our questions for ICAR AIEEA-PG spread across the units of Commodity Markets, Futures & Options. Difficulty: 10 easy, 8 medium, 1 hard.

Basis4
Commodity derivatives and price-risk management3
Forwards, futures and options compared2
Hedging2
Price discovery and market efficiency2
Organisation of commodity exchanges1
Contract specifications1
Settlement and delivery1
Market surveillance and risk control1
Regulation of commodity derivatives markets1
Speculation1

8 practice questions, worked

Choose an answer, then open the working. Each explanation says why the right answer is right and why the others are not.

1 · Commodity derivatives and price-risk management · easy

A derivative is best defined as a contract whose value:

  1. Depends on the price of an underlying asset or commodity
  2. Is fixed by the government at the time of sowing
  3. Equals the cost of producing the commodity
  4. Is set by the warehouse that stores the goods
Answer and working

A. Depends on the price of an underlying asset or commodity

A derivative derives its value from an underlying price, such as the price of wheat or cotton. It is not a government-set price, and cost of production does not determine its value; the market price of the underlying does.

Further reading: Hull, Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives; Purcell and Koontz, Agricultural Futures and Options; NISM Series XVI workbook

2 · Organisation of commodity exchanges · medium

Which exchange is correctly matched with its main focus?

  1. MCX (India) - mainly agricultural commodities
  2. Bursa Malaysia - wheat and maize
  3. ICE Futures Europe - live cattle
  4. NCDEX (India) - mainly agricultural commodities
Answer and working

D. NCDEX (India) - mainly agricultural commodities

NCDEX concentrates on agricultural commodities, while MCX trades mainly metals and energy. Bursa Malaysia's benchmark is crude palm oil; live cattle trade on CME, and ICE Futures Europe lists robusta coffee, London cocoa and white sugar.

Further reading: Hull, Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives; Purcell and Koontz, Agricultural Futures and Options; NISM Series XVI workbook

3 · Forwards, futures and options compared · medium

The main risk borne by a farmer who sells wheat to a trader through a private forward contract, which a futures hedge would remove, is:

  1. The risk of margin calls
  2. Basis risk, which can widen at delivery
  3. Counterparty risk: the trader may refuse to take delivery or pay if prices fall
  4. The risk of paying a non-refundable option premium that is lost if wheat prices rise
Answer and working

C. Counterparty risk: the trader may refuse to take delivery or pay if prices fall

A forward has no clearing house, so each side depends on the other honouring the contract. Basis risk and margin calls are features of futures hedges, not forwards, and forwards carry no premium.

Further reading: Hull, Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives; Purcell and Koontz, Agricultural Futures and Options; NISM Series XVI workbook

4 · Basis · easy

Using the convention of most textbooks, basis is defined as:

  1. Futures price minus option strike price
  2. Futures price minus the local cash price
  3. Local cash price minus futures price
  4. Cash price minus minimum support price
Answer and working

C. Local cash price minus futures price

Basis = cash − futures in this convention. Some traders reverse it, so always check. Futures minus strike is the intrinsic value of a call on futures, and MSP is unrelated to basis.

Further reading: Hull, Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives; Purcell and Koontz, Agricultural Futures and Options; NISM Series XVI workbook

5 · Basis · medium

A stockist buys grain at a basis of -200 and hedges it by selling futures. When he sells the grain and lifts the hedge, the basis is -120. Ignoring storage costs, his result per quintal from the hedged position is:

  1. A gain of 80
  2. A gain of 320
  3. Zero, because the hedge is perfect
  4. A loss of 80
Answer and working

A. A gain of 80

For a short hedger, result = closing basis − opening basis = -120 − (-200) = +80. The basis strengthened, which helps short hedgers. A hedge is perfect only if the basis does not change.

Further reading: Hull, Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives; Purcell and Koontz, Agricultural Futures and Options; NISM Series XVI workbook

6 · Basis · easy

As a futures contract approaches its delivery period, its price tends to move towards the cash price at the delivery location. This is called:

  1. Contango
  2. Novation
  3. Convergence
  4. Backwardation
Answer and working

C. Convergence

Arbitrage through the delivery mechanism forces convergence. Contango and backwardation describe the slope of the futures curve, and novation is the clearing house becoming the counterparty.

Further reading: Hull, Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives; Purcell and Koontz, Agricultural Futures and Options; NISM Series XVI workbook

7 · Market surveillance and risk control · medium

Which of the following is a surveillance indicator of a possible squeeze in an expiring agricultural contract?

  1. A narrow bid-ask spread
  2. A long position that is large relative to deliverable stocks in accredited warehouses
  3. Convergence of futures and cash prices
  4. Open interest spread evenly among many unrelated clients across several delivery months
Answer and working

B. A long position that is large relative to deliverable stocks in accredited warehouses

A squeeze arises when longs hold more than can be delivered, forcing shorts to buy back at high prices. Surveillance compares concentrated open interest with deliverable stocks. The other features indicate a healthy market.

Further reading: Hull, Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives; Purcell and Koontz, Agricultural Futures and Options; NISM Series XVI workbook

8 · Regulation of commodity derivatives markets · easy

In the United States, futures markets are regulated under:

  1. The Securities Exchange Act, 1934
  2. The Commodity Exchange Act, 1936
  3. The Dodd-Frank Act, 2010
  4. The Warehouse Act, 1916
Answer and working

B. The Commodity Exchange Act, 1936

The Commodity Exchange Act of 1936 is the basic law; the CFTC (1974) administers it. Dodd-Frank (2010) extended oversight to swaps; the Securities Exchange Act governs securities; the Warehouse Act licenses warehouses.

Further reading: Hull, Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives; Purcell and Koontz, Agricultural Futures and Options; NISM Series XVI workbook

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Read the subject

Commodity Markets, Futures & OptionsThe full study manual, free ICAR AIEEA-PGFormat, sections and how it has changed

More ICAR AIEEA-PG practice

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Commodity Markets, Futures & Options for other exams

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